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NOTICE: This site was made by the Center for Applied Spatial Ecology at New Mexico State University, Las Cruces, N.M in conjunction with the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. It is currently hosted on a server at New Mexico State University and not by the U.S. EPA.

Integrated Climate and Land-Use Scenarios

Data provided was compressed with WinZip 9.0

The integrated climate and land-use scenarios were developed by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency in order facilitate the spatial analyses of how different land use my exacerbate or alleviate the effects of global climate change. The raster datasets (v 1.0, released in 2008) provided on this page are clipped to the South Platte watershed, and represent county-level population projections in terms of housing density across the landscape. These 10-year increment projections are based off the 2000 census data, base line conditions (BC), and four other scenarios (A1, A2, B1, B2) that characterize different environment and economic management, and population growth conditions.

Source:   U.S. EPA. Land-Use Scenarios: National-Scale Housing-Density Scenarios Consistant with Climate Change
Storylines. 2009. EPA/600/R-08/076F. [Link]

U.S. EPA. ICLUS V1.3 User's Manual: ARCGIS Tools for Modeling US Housing Density Growth. 2010. U.S.
Environmental Protection Agency, Washington, DC. EPA/600/R-09/143F. [Link]

Datasets have been provided in their native 100 m resolution, as well at a 30 m resolution.

Download the entire dataset here: 30m 100m

Metadata

BC Housing Density

This represents the baseline condition, or "no change" scenario. It is characterized as medium fertility rates, medium domestic migration and medium international migration.

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A1 Housing Density

This scenario is characterized as low fertility, high domestic and international migration rates. There is fast economic growth, low population growth and high global integration.

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B1 Housing Density

This scenario is characterized as low fertility and domestic migration rates with high international migration rates. A globally integrated world has an emphasis on environmentally sustainable economic development.

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A2 Housing Density

This scenario is characterized as high fertility and domestic migration rates with medium international migration rates. There is continued economic development with regional focus and slower economic convergence between regions.

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Year 30m 100m
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B2 Housing Density

This scenario is characterized as medium fertility and international migration rates with low domestic migration rates. A regionally oriented world of moderate population growth focuses on local solutions to environmental and economic issues.

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Year 30m 100m
2000 Zip Zip
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2040 Zip Zip
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