Jump to main content.


NOTICE: This site was made by the Center for Applied Spatial Ecology at New Mexico State University, Las Cruces, N.M. in conjunction with the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency. It is currently hosted on a server at New Mexico State University and not by the U.S. EPA.

Integrated Climate and Land-Use Scenarios

Data provided was compressed with WinZip 9.0

The integrated climate and land-use scenarios were developed by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency in order to facilitate the spatial analyses of how different land use may exacerbate or alleviate the effects of global climate change. The raster datasets (v 1.3.1) provided on this page are clipped to the San Pedro watershed, and represent county-level population projections in terms of housing density across the landscape. These 10-year increment projections are based on the 2000 census data, base line conditions (BC), and four other scenarios (A1, A2, B1, B2) that characterize different environment and economic management, and population growth conditions.

Source:   U.S. EPA. Land-Use Scenarios: National-Scale Housing-Density Scenarios Consistant with Climate Change
Storylines. 2009. EPA/600/R-08/076F. [Link]

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). 2010. ICLUS v 1.3 User's Manual: ArcGIS Tools and Datasets
for Modeling US Housing Density Growth. Global Change Research Program, National Center for Environmental
Assessment, Washington, DC; EPA/600/R-09/ 143F. Available from the National Technical Information Service,
Spring field, VA, and online at http://www.epa.gov/ncea/global.
[Link]

Datasets have been provided in their native 100 m resolution.

Download the entire dataset here:100m

Metadata

BC Housing Density

This represents the baseline condition, or "no change" scenario. It is characterized as medium fertility rates, medium domestic migration, and medium international migration.

Download All - 100m Zip

Year 100m
2010 Zip
2020 Zip
2030 Zip
2040 Zip
2050 Zip
2060 Zip
2070 Zip
2080 Zip
2090 Zip
2100 Zip

Back to Top

A1 Housing Density

This scenario is characterized as low fertility, high domestic and international migration rates. There is fast economic growth, low population growth, and high global integration.

Download All - 100m Zip

Year 100m
2010 Zip
2020 Zip
2030 Zip
2040 Zip
2050 Zip
2060 Zip
2070 Zip
2080 Zip
2090 Zip
2100 Zip

Back to Top

B1 Housing Density

This scenario is characterized as low fertility and domestic migration rates with high international migration rates. A globally integrated world has an emphasis on environmentally sustainable economic development.

Download All - 100m Zip

Year 100m
2010 Zip
2020 Zip
2030 Zip
2040 Zip
2050 Zip
2060 Zip
2070 Zip
2080 Zip
2090 Zip
2100 Zip

Back to Top

A2 Housing Density

This scenario is characterized as high fertility and domestic migration rates with medium international migration rates. There is continued economic development with regional focus and slower economic convergence between regions.

Download All - 100m Zip

Year 100m
2010 Zip
2020 Zip
2030 Zip
2040 Zip
2050 Zip
2060 Zip
2070 Zip
2080 Zip
2090 Zip
2100 Zip

Back to Top

B2 Housing Density

This scenario is characterized as medium fertility and international migration rates with low domestic migration rates. A regionally oriented world of moderate population growth focuses on local solutions to environmental and economic issues.

Download All - 100m Zip

Year 100m
2010 Zip
2020 Zip
2030 Zip
2040 Zip
2050 Zip
2060 Zip
2070 Zip
2080 Zip
2090 Zip
2100 Zip

More Databrowsers
ORD Home | NERL Home | ESD Home | LEB Home
Send questions or comments to ESD Info Desk, Library-lv@epa.gov


Local Navigation


Jump to main content.